Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1092.347850 1248.590758 1426.022728 1643.840180 1905.949689 2213.631499 2605.749075
2025-03-09 866.450758 1067.588730 1319.617287 1664.308959 2132.616771 2760.637629 3691.479527
2025-03-16 737.644519 951.658644 1236.806756 1655.098588 2271.978639 3180.999013 4689.550683
2025-03-23 661.427070 885.500852 1199.388285 1687.686021 2460.703997 3700.155959 5987.001101
2025-03-30 579.874064 797.634185 1114.193445 1628.999847 2490.014968 3966.909378 6942.887769
2025-04-06 516.641624 726.976618 1042.474168 1575.524611 2511.116376 4216.466348 7947.152633
2025-04-13 463.045135 664.014328 973.503146 1513.702634 2502.378560 4404.363566 8890.820786
2025-04-20 441.730027 647.765791 975.145834 1569.472615 2714.666905 5072.616608 11209.042255
2025-04-27 416.405859 622.168736 957.866427 1588.155496 2858.469721 5638.093629 13564.675049
2025-05-04 394.325065 599.427262 942.346544 1606.893405 3005.078837 6252.309617 16414.400535
2025-05-11 373.680610 576.988803 924.584008 1618.152565 3137.439957 6873.557782 19700.026583
2025-05-18 362.216710 568.938054 931.172803 1677.894123 3390.210575 7890.478056 25174.437760
2025-05-25 350.227934 559.574350 935.584558 1736.839613 3663.452791 9098.286737 32755.922328
2025-06-01 334.606546 542.489123 923.908741 1760.571975 3858.926654 10173.096107 41161.683546
2025-06-08 316.713507 519.690823 898.727148 1750.531320 3964.652452 11011.666961 49582.821120
2025-06-15 305.321944 507.874544 893.785497 1785.553857 4202.555104 12429.992910 64082.237245
2025-06-22 285.094416 477.941770 849.624810 1722.512997 4147.194528 12740.328164 71533.105415
2025-06-29 267.215619 451.268291 809.883094 1665.109844 4097.350867 13062.327599 79948.293970
2025-07-06 250.002461 424.794972 768.486472 1598.794410 4007.904065 13193.146884 87213.611226
2025-07-13 245.389744 422.399273 777.256121 1658.615684 4329.259290 15303.704697 121121.889402
2025-07-20 237.642490 413.266301 770.787639 1678.665108 4528.384623 16994.100916 158033.825270
2025-07-27 230.408936 404.647227 764.644957 1698.778240 4734.883858 18883.916053 209135.626332
2025-08-03 223.035122 395.246150 755.945004 1710.865964 4917.977748 20804.364768 276011.698354